Chloé Zhao’s film, “Hamnet,” which delves into William Shakespeare’s personal life and the tragic loss of his 11-year-old son, secured the People’s Choice Award at the Toronto International Film Festival. This victory positions the film as a strong contender for the upcoming Academy Awards.
The Toronto International Film Festival’s People’s Choice Award holds significant weight in the film industry, particularly for those involved in Oscars predictions. Over the years, this award has proven to be a reliable indicator of potential best picture nominees at the Oscars, earning the festival a reputation as an influential predictor in the awards season landscape.
The historical significance of the People’s Choice Award as an Oscars predictor dates back to the early years of the festival in 1976. Notably, films like “Chariots of Fire” and “The Big Chill” set the stage for the festival’s growing influence on the Academy Awards nominations.
While there were periods of uncertainty in the past, the festival experienced a shift in 2008, marked by a series of successful films such as “Slumdog Millionaire,” “Precious,” and “Green Book” that went on to receive best picture nominations and wins. This trend continued with subsequent PCA winners receiving recognition at the Oscars.
The close connection between TIFF and the Oscars can be attributed to various factors, including the festival’s audience-driven approach in selecting award winners and the Academy’s decision to expand the best picture shortlist, allowing for a broader range of films to be considered.
Despite its achievements, not all PCA winners have achieved widespread acclaim like “The Life of Chuck,” which faced distribution challenges following its win. However, the festival’s track record in identifying award-worthy films remains a crucial factor for studios and filmmakers seeking to navigate the competitive awards season.
Overall, TIFF’s role as an influential awards platform continues to shape industry trends and provide valuable insights for filmmakers and audiences alike, solidifying its position as a key player in the cinematic landscape.

